viernes, 31 de enero de 2014

Understanding structural changes in contemporary Mexico: an approach towards Peña Nieto's first year of government.



Understanding structural changes in contemporary Mexico: an approach towards Peña Nieto's first year of government.







Author: Tomás Vera Ziccardi.




About the Author.


Tomás Vera Ziccardi was born in Buenos Aires, Argentina. In 2013 he obtained his bachelor's degree in foreign affairs. During part of his academic formation in the Argentine Republic he published several articles, papers, researchs and opinion columns on his website. Most of them are related to Latin American politics and foreign affairs. Some of the most recognized ones are The influence of the United States in Latin America (2010), Mexico and the end of an era (2011), The Democratic Decade in Brazil (2011), Time for South American Unity (2011),  Surinam: reconfiguration towards South America (2012), Brazil and Mexico: a comparative study (2012), The importance of the Argentina - Brazil relations (2012), The formation of the independent state in Mexico (2012), Presidents of Brazil (2012), The US - Latin America relation in the immediate Post Second World War (2012), The Tlatelolco Treaty (2012), Itamaraty and the search for a place within the United Nations Security Council (2013) and Brazil (2013). Due that most of his works were published in Spanish, Mr. Vera Ziccardi decided to start writing in English language. His passion for Latin American Studies and the will to introduce the own view of latin americans to english speakers lead him to publish his work Understanding structural changes in contemporary Mexico: an approach towards Peña Nieto's first year of government (2014). 








The year 2012 proved to be a turmoil moment for mexican politics. Seen from the citizenship's perspective this was more than clear, despite for most political analysers, by December of the mentioned year, it was just about the realization of a long process gestated during the PAN's experience in office. Going back to the final months of the Calderon Hinojosa Administration, the internal dispute among the government, the exhaustion over its first government experience and the changing political scene gave a perspective of future change. The PAN (Partido Autonomista National for its spanish syllables, known in english for Autonomist National Party) had governed Mexico for 12 years during both, Fox and Calderón Hinojosa administrations. It is important that readers understand that in Mexico presidential terms last 6 years, rather than 4, as it is common in the United States. Hereby, a single presidential turn can be extremely exhaustive for a leader. In a nation where the PRI (Partido Revolucionario Institucional, in english Institutional Revolutionary Party) governed for more than 70 uninterrupted years, this 12 years, of somehow 'opposition government' experience, proved to be more complex than past government ones. 

Structural forces, manipulation by traditional lobbies and some traditional business sectors were foreseeing an eventual political change. Here is where traditional party, PRI, saw the possibility of overthrowing their recent years rival, PAN. Which strategy would PRI use this time in order to achieve its goal of landing again at 'Los Pinos'? First of all we should take into account that despite more than a decade had passed since their last government experience with President Ernesto Zedillo, public opinion kept on having a negative image of the party known as 'The Dinousar' among young mexicans. Even social changes took place. The urban mexican middle class saw PRI as a party full of corruption, with links to local mafia, lobby practices and manipulation of the public administration. By now it was patent that the party had to adopt a brilliant strategy, above all if they wanted to gain votes from the middle classes of cities such as Monterrey, Guadalajara and Mexico City, essential to win a presidential election.








The Partido Revolucionario Institucional (Revolutionary Institutional Party) is one of the most relevant political parties in Mexico. On December the 1st of 2013 its candidate, Enrique Peña Nieto, assumed the presidency of Mexico.





Timing inside the PRI headquarters ended up creating the perfect formula with a view to 2012. Mass media, specially major tv brands such as giants TV AZTECA and TELEVISA, started encouraging a young political figure that had big chances to land at the presidency. Enrique Peña Nieto had familiar connections with the mexican political elite. With a wealthy background, Mr. Peña Nieto began to progress inside the State of Mexico, upto the point of entering national administration. His young figure, gave PRI a new face. His experience as Governor of the State of Mexico, made the perfect combo for 2012. The media began to explode Mr. Peña Nieto, as the charismatic, new wave inside the old PRI. His popularity rised, especially among the west states. Despite having served as former governor, most of the opposition he received came from the East states, including urban middle class, academicians and young students from the leading national universities. The 'Dinosaur's Comeback' was almost certain, something that increased confrontation among some sectors of mexican society. 

Finally in December 2012 Mr. Peña Nieto became the President of the Mexican United States. The coalition between PRI and PVEM (Partido Verde Ecologista de México, know as the Green Ecologist Party of Mexico) won with more than 38% of the votes. PAN, with the innovative presentation of Mrs. Josefina Vázquez Mota, ended up in third place (with 25% of the votes), falling behind the so called 'Progressist Movement' of López Obrador. Things seemed to have changed since those final sunny days of 2000 when PAN finished more than seven decades of uninterrupted PRI hegemony. Now the old political machine was back to power. It was time for President Peña Nieto to pay back the favours he received during his campaign from so many sectors of Mexico's elite, political world, economy and media. Mexico would enter a new stage of political and social confrontation. Not the type of one the latin american nation was used to during the '60s and '70s, mexican political stabilty strenghtened specially after the 1994 Tequila Crisis. Despite this, different sectors from civil society, the political sphere and labor unions began showing considerable opposition to Peña Nieto's political and economical decisions. After all, PRI's agenda did not have in mind people's opinion and it would prove to introduce few changes in accordance to its conventional way of acting. 








Enrique Peña Nieto became the first president representing the PRI after 12 uninterrupted years of PAN governments. The historical comeback represented a break point in mexican politics.





Precisely in terms of foreign affairs Mexico sought deepening the relation with North American neighbours. The 20th Anniversary of the NAFTA creation, impulsed by a former PRI president, should become a milestone for Mexico. Peña Nieto's foreign policy has NAFTA as a focal point. The Mexico - Washington relation should not introduce any type of alteration that could result in a regression of the bilateral agenda. On the other hand, we can expose mexican diplomats agenda, trying to position Mexico on the international sphere as a powerful nation. The G-20, relations with major South American nations such as Brazil, Chile and Argentina, negotiations with the European Union, the strenghening of bilateral ties with People's Republic of China and Japan and of course the expansion of relations with nations such as Indonesia, Turkey and India proved to be the response of a nation foreseeing to establish itself a a key player from Latin America and at the same time the NAFTA.
We shall come back to Mexico's foreign policy when we talk about the oil sector, as for now it is time to look at the internal measures adopted by Peña Nieto. 








The North American Free Trade Agreement, mostly known as NAFTA, remains as a key element for Mexico's foreign policy. Under the Peña Nieto Administration ties with regional partners are meant to be strengthened.





Being a complex subject among Latin American nations, education, is becoming each time more a central point of competitive nations core policies in the early XXI Century. Mexico proved to be during the past century a nation which formed three nobel prize winners, dozens of researchers among an extended amalgam of areas, maintained top regional universities such as UNAM and Tecnológico de Monterrey and of course a pioneer in Latin America as for universitarian graduates. Despite all these achievements, if Mexico is willing to expand during this century, educational reforms should be introduced in order to include millions of young mexicans who do not even have access to elementary education (specially among the poor states). According to the official website of the mexican presidency, the so called 'Educational Reform' is a core policy created during Peña Nieto's government. The main ideas of the reform endorse the role of the federal government for education, working together with local governments, establishing the professionalization of teachers and professors among the entire nation, in order that trained personnel conducts the formation of young students, the creation of a national evaluation service (here is where the debate turned spirited) and a major level of autonomy for school management (which at some extent proves to have contradictions with other mentioned points of the reform, such as a major control from local and national governments). 
Regulation or deregulation, in educational terms, here is where Peña Nieto has experienced the first opposition to his major policies. The reform is willing to increase communication between school authorities and government officials. Despite it, when it comes to high level coordination, the autonomy in decision making that parents and school authorities will have, seem to be almost absolute. How could it work out in a nation where school authorities that ask for financial support receive a respond after years? The reform is not specific among these issues. The establishment of a national evaluation service (for schools, managers, teachers and students) does not show the aim to revert the distance between urban private schools and rural public ones. Even further, the reform does not suggest any type of plan at all in order to change this situation. Will the evaluation have the aim of an standardization or it will end up expanding the distance between extreme poles? We shall remember that high level education in Mexico does not reach every freshman. Again the reform proves to be fuzzy when it comes to a minimum of 6 to 8 hours of compulsory class assistance. The so called 'full time scholar development' does not suggest the new subjects that are going to be added at elementary school nor the development of new activities that students will perform, it just talks about academic, cultural and sporting development. Opposition among universitarian students, scholars and workers unions related to education accuse that the reform is willing to expand the distance between young mexicans, in educational terms. Rather than including people at high level education (tertiary and universitarian), it will make the urban middle class improve its performance at top level universities and maintain lower class students at a marginalized position, where accesing to universities would not be much of a trouble as it would be for them to mantain the academic level once inside. Remembering what was mentioned at the very beginning, Latin America's educational shortcomings, it is clear that Mexico is not able to adopt an elitist universal service (in educational terms). The standardization, on the other hand, shows that structural problems will expand rather than contract. At the same time, groups of power will see how their interests variate. In a nation where vertical coordination (from national government upto county government) has not worked and where the executive has to attend to major issues such as fighting against drug cartels, their possibilities of changing Mexico's educational performance seem to be far distant. This should not be taken in the wrong way. Education should be Mexico's major goal, but little has been done over the past decades. We could end up the educational reform analysis by pointing out the prevailing confronted positions. As far as Peña Nieto's Administration desires to change educational parameters, it will prove to be an uphill battle, where dialogue should be the keyword, rather than mere empirical suggestions. 








Known as the best Latin American university, the UNAM is one of the most important educational institutions in Mexico. In the picture you can appreciate one of its main buildings. 





According to the First Government Report, introduced in May 2013, Mexico is willing to improve federalism, in order to adopt a more efficient level of cooperation between the different stages of public service. The most interesting issue regarding federalism is faced in the report by stating the Mexico has major difficulties to weaken centralization. The absence of intergovernmental cooperation has lead through out the last decades to an enlargement of the differences between economical regions and federative entities. In order to counterbalance these negative effects, the executive branch  proposes the inclusion and participation of municipal and federal governments on the different instances of decision making that englobe national policies, such as tax coordination, the National Health System and the National System for Social Development. We are going to analyse the proporsals regarding the NSSD. This system is a mechanism of permanent attendance that includes national, state (provincial level) and municipal level. Its major proposal was the National Crusade Against Hunger, which englobes the cooperation of all government levels, plus social and private entities. Taking into account such a complex issue, the results of this cooperation are expected to arose in the upcoming years.
The National Conference of Mexican Municipalities and the 'Agenda Desde lo Local' are other interesting proposals that are meant to attack centralization. Since 2013, the last mentioned tool was able to receive the report of 1,117 municipalities and 30 states acknowledging the major difficulties local entites face in their public administration. Despite its slow progress, after an entire year, there have been efforts in order to improve coordination and cooperation, something that again, keeps on being one of the major difficulties for latin american nations. Despite the will from the mexican state to counterbalance centralization, as we shall see next, this issue is the epicenter of problems to the national government. With respect to certain topics, like the ones exposed in the past paragraph, centralization is an obstacle to national development, but in others cooperation proved to be inefficient, and here is where centralization must take the lead.









Mr. Peña Nieto will retain the mexican presidency until the year 2018.





Regarding national security, the mexican state has been working on a multidimensional approach to counterbalance the growing power of drug cartels, non-belligerent groups and internal actors which by the use of force delegitimize the role of the central state on to what refers to mantaining peace at a national scale. Under the Calderon Hinojosa Administration, Mexico began fighting armed groups by utilizing the different branches of national security, that means from low scale police upto the mexican army. The securityt issue has become a core topic in mexican politics, not leaving away the President from the debate. From Fox up to Peña Nieto, the different executives that have governed Mexico emphasized the need to strengthen the role of the state over security issues. We should remind that the mexican constitution points out that national security is a responsability attached to the President. How did Peña Nieto face the difficulties of security during his first year in office? Once again we shall appeal to the First Government Report. In the Unit 1.2, 'Guarantee National Security', it is emphasized the role of the state in order to preserv national security. The report suggests that it is a priority to rebuild social trust over the government institutions, throughout the combat against corruption and impunity, the development of a legal framework which controls the performance of the state duties and international cooperation. The document continues enumerating different strategies taken in order to preserv national security. Still, it does not show any type of specific measure to fight against drug cartels, corruption inside the political spheres and their conexions with the mexican underworld, opposition movements against the State (such as E.Z.L.N) and perhaps Mexico's newest update in terms of security, the formation of armed groups inside civil society that fight for themselves against major drug cartels. 







Rising insecurity has been a major issue for millions of mexicans. President Peña Nieto has proposed an inclusive strategy in order to counterbalance its negative effects. In the picture the mexican army patrols the streets.





The fight against mafia and organized crime might have some sort of influence on the daily life of mexican citizens, but at this point it makes more sense if we try to understand it through the position that Mexico wants to enhance, as a modernized and developed nation. If Mexico wants to secure a position as the maximum representative of Latin America, it should end the political and economic power that local mafias have. Something similar has been arising in Brazil since Fernando Erique Cardoso landed at the 'Planalto Palace' during the '90s. These type of nations, willing to become regional hegemons, have to leave away the underdeveloped, unestable and countries of constant conflict generators image they had during past decades, and that is something the mexican state has been willing to achieve since the 2000's. 
Taking into account the conditions of national security, where the state has an outstanding debt, it is clear that the recent PRI government has not adopted any type of clear measure in order to counterbalace crime, assasinations and the colateral effects of drug cartels in the streets of the entire nation. This is something that indeed worries the common mexican citizen. A brief look at the newspaper covers and tv news of the last 10 years, show mass killings, debt adjustments, kidnappings and armed groups on some rural locations blocking the entrance of state armed forces, proving that crime and violence is attached to Mexico, and that unless serious measures to stop the retrofitted circle are taken (politics, mafia & drugs), the situation shall persist. Once again taking as reference the documents enacted by the mexican state, the First Government Report, on its unit 1.3 (Improving Public Security Conditions), suggests that 'one of the main issues mexican families claim to be worried about is the growing insecurity'. The document states that the government has assumed the compromise to impulse actions in order to regain peace, guarantee physical integrity of the population and public security in order to transmit tranquility. From one side we can realize that this unit has just a few paragraphs filled of empty words, rather than describing concrete actions to fight insecurity, it just defends some principles that have been on the national constitution for more than a century. We shall counterpose the words of the mexican government against the ones of the people. 







According to the 'National Poll of Victimization and Perception of Public Security 2013', released by the National Institute of Statistic and Geography, more than 70% of the people surveyed have expressed their concern towards rising insecurity.





In September 2013 the National Institute of Statistic and Geography (the most prestigious national research center) released the 'National Poll of Victimization and Perception of Public Security 2013'. The structure of this research was probabilistic, multifaceted and stratified. It included 95,810 houses, where people above 18 years old were surveyed. Lets take into account two more aspects, on the first place it lasted 50 days, and on the second it was taken at national, federative, urban and rural stages. 
This official and recent data source shows that for 72.3% of the people surveyed, the perception of insecurity increased in their respective areas. The research shows that an estimated US$ 15,974 millions, consisting a 1.34% of national GDP, were lost due to insecurity. 
The NISG suggests that the crime rate is of 35,139 per 100,000 inhabitants, something that lets us see that within 10 mexican citizens, three of them have suffered from some sort of crime. There are other interesting indicators, for instance, from the total crimes suffered during the year 2012, 64% of them were reported to the autorithies, while almost 20% were not. As for this the National Institute suggests that an important portion of active society does not report crimes they suffer or are directly/indirectly related to, in front of the authorities. The two main reasons why these things take place are luck of trust on the police and governmental authorities, and on the other side claiming that once before they reported, but as nothing happened they decided not to report on a second case. 
According to what the mexican states denominates as crime and the insecurity index, these and further information can be consulted at the website of the NISG. As we are not conducting an academic research, introducing all the empirical variables and concepts that the NISG takes into account will signify a deviation from the core of our article, hence the reader can visit the official website of the mexican research institute and find there all the information regarding to security in Mexico. As for us, we can conclude by saying that public opinion has a critic perception of security and the role of the state. Crime and insecurity perception have been on the rise for the last year, Peña Nieto, as the incumbent President during part of this period, cannot just rely himself on a simple speech of fight against crime, when as we have seen Mexico suffers each day more. Insecurity hits the common mexican citizen so hard that the economic losses derived from it have a national impact. At this point we can add that in order to end insecurity, the national state should change the mechanisms it has been using and at the same extent it should introduce concrete measures into civil population, so that the perception towards government institutions change, helping the state to counterattack the growing crime indicators. But as it was seen on previous paragraphs the multidimensional approach on some issues and the unilateral one on the other, has been a debate which created paralysis inside the executive power. Should Peña Nieto endorse an unilateral and centralized plan in order to face crime and reduce the high insecurity levels? Or perhaps he should opt for a different approach, would a more cooperative position with civil society work? What´s clear is that after one year of government, Peña Nieto has not been able to introduce nor apply any serious measure against growing insecurity. It would be appropiate that when he decides to do so, he starts by listening the claims of the mexican people. 

Focusing ourselves on the last focal point of Mexico's situation during Peña Nieto's government, we shall analyse the so called 'Energetic Reform'. First of all it should be clear that the reform endorses the energetic situation of a nation where oil consumption and exports are some of the core elements of its economy. Oil in Mexico has been a major issue since the first decades of the past century. Nowadays, Mexico is positioned as a key player in the international oil market. As the mentioned reform settles direct measures over the oil industry, which in fact we should call 'Oil Web' due that it englobes an enormous quantity of elements and players, it is more than clear that it has been one of the most relevant measures introduced since the PRI came back to power. 
Beforehand it is important to point out that during the promotion of the reform the national government stressed out two elements. On the first place the idea of changing Mexico's image, as a modernized nation, where the energetic situation is faced with innovative measures and according to the parameters of the XXI Century. The second issue that the government intended to emphasize was to position Mexico in the international system as a great nation. As we are going to take into account both, the energetic measures and the political ones, these previous appreciations need to be understood. We shall take into account the document released by the Secretary of International Affairs of the mexican state, titled 'Energetic Reform: Executive Summary'. This public document, available on the website of the mentioned institution, suggests that as Mexico has a significant amount of gas and oil reserves (both undersea and subterraneous), the nation should attract investment in order to improve its performance in such a relevant area of the economy. Up to this point things make more than sense. Every nation should intend to attract foreign or private funding ir order to invest on key areas that are relevant for economic stability. The document goes further, establishing some true factors, for instance the one that implores that during the last years Mexico has demanded foreign gas from northern african and middle east nations, paying a price four times higher than if it would have extracted its own gas. Facing the same problems other underdeveloped nations have, Mexico understood that its lack of private and public funding, plus the low specialization of human resources and lack of technology, obstruct rewarding opportunities, in this case, related to the oil market. Much of the criticism wielded from the opposition featured the fear towards foreign private corporations, which would exceed the position PEMEX historically had. Would Mexico go back to the situation where foreign corporations control the resources of the mexican people? Would the so called 'Energetic Reform' take the nation to a loss of sovereignity regarding this issue? PRI, willing not to enlarge the overshadowing situation Peña Nieto's government was facing, decided to use major media in order to convince public opinion that this was not the situation Mexico was going to face with the reform. As we could appreciate on the document published among many public institutions, the state wills to strengthen the idea that the reform ensures that gas and oil resources will keep on being in the hands of the people, and that it will bring extra benefits such as the reduction of the demand (of foreign resources). 
It is important to remember something we introduced at the beginning of the economic and energetic discussion. The government had the desire to position Mexico as a modernized nation, at this extent in terms of energetic policies. As a two - way conduit, the government holds the position that this type of measures have been enforced in other nations. Here the core idea is to introduce the reform as both, something necessary to acquire the high level position in the international sphere, and also as something that should be done because other nations also did it, sending an internal message which legitimated the proposal. The emulation hiddens a much more complex plan.
One of the most relevant policies taken by the PRI government was the one of swapping every key point the opposition criticised from the reform. As we have mentioned before, political opposition (specially the one from Lopez Obrador's party), pointed out that the reform was willing to open the market to foreign corporations. The executive power pointed out that the resources were going to continue as national property. Nobody was going to steal from the mexican people. Once again the opposition suggested that the reform was meant to be a so called de facto privatization. The government's slogan was 'No privatization, Yes energetic reform'.  Over this issue is where we probably have to give credit to the PRI and Peña Nieto. It is not appropiate to talk about a privatization, which for instance would mean that PEMEX would end up being acquired by a foreign or private corporation/investment group. Also, the reform wills to change Article 27 of the Constitution, 'developing the oil industry under the State's guidance'. The reform does not mean that oil, public corporations and the core decision makers regarding the energetic oil will be controlled by the private sector, in fact the reform desires to improve the productivity, rather than the control, from the State. Facing this situation, it is clear that the reform had a much more political debate, rather than an energetic one, specially coming from the political, economical and social opposition. 
PEMEX, one of the major latin american oil corporations, has had since its creation historical control over the national market. The government, throughout the mentioned document, has argued that PEMEX is going to continue being a relevant player (once again the opposition's speech faces an attack from the governments side). It is more than clear than foreign investment is going to be relevant, specially for technology and research, but the difference is that now the participation is going to end, at some extent, the monopolic control PEMEX has historically had. Due that Mexico has major oil reserves on the sea and in the so called 'campos maduros', an specific technology is going to be needed, something that PEMEX lacks from. Here the national government suggests that specialized investment is going to be needed. Regarding PEMEX's historical control over the market, new variables are going to compromise decision making over explorations and extractions. These ones are going to be conducted by the national government rather than by PEMEX. Here is where one of the most arguable points of the reform comes into play. We are talking about the shared utility contracts between PEMEX and other corporations. Most of these decisions will have now the authority, approval and control from the national government, ending the monopolic control (both in political and economical terms) of PEMEX and the oil lobby attached to it. 








Petróleos Mexicanos (PEMEX) was founded in 1938. The oil corporation has had an historical control over this key area of national economy. 





After exposing and briefily analysing some of the main aspects of the energetic reform, we desire to point out two more relevant issues. First of all the media campaign around the reform had the will to gain public support and acceptance. The government faced this important issue with the next strategy. In order to gain support, the reform had to emphasize the 'improvement of family economy'. Detached from this a simple equation comes out, if the reform was approved by the legislative and executive branches, people would experience a reduction on their gas, oil and electricity taxes. This plus the assurance that resources would continue under national sovereignty meant that public opinion tacitly gave the green light to the reform (despite political and social movements opposed to it, even those demonstrations against it and the Peña Nieto government). Talking about green lights, the second issue we desire to mention is that the reform has a much wider extent, including alternative energies such as wind & solar energy. Green reforms that desire to reduce electric consumption by introducing alternative options, among other measures. As on historical terms, oil has been a central topic of discussion in Mexico, we decided to expose this aspect of the reform, but it is important for the non related readers to this type of topics to understand that the reform englobes other aspects of Mexico's energetic web.








During 2013 the Energetic Reform was approved by the legislative branch as a constitutional reform. It covers most of the relevant areas of energetic production, supply and commercialization, being the so called 'Oil Web' one of these ones.





Contemporary Mexico has proved to be an extremely interesting unit of analysis. During recent years the nation has seen an extraordinary political debate englobing different political units. At some extent we could even go further and assure that Mexico is a pioneer nation in political terms (always talking about Latin America). After the PAN experience during the last decade, PRI's comeback called the attention of the international system. As we have seen, the Peña Nieto Administration on it's first anniversary has tried to endorse structural reforms which refer to economy, security, resources, education and politics. For some groups, political and social opposition increased, something that seemed to be less common during the previous governments of Fox and Calderón Hinojosa. Political instability could enter the debate, but we believe Mexico is a much more stable nation than other regional powers. Even by reforming focal points, PRI and Peña Nieto might have a sense of stability which is not a common feature for Latin America. Some elements threatened by the reforms might create a clash. It is clear that groups of power do not wish to see their interests affected. But at the same time, other groups support Peña Nieto's reforms, due that they might bring major earnings. Most of them did support Peña Nieto during the presidential campaign. But if we are willing to go beyond mere speculation, we should take into account the strategies behind mexican politics. Is the 'Dinosaur' adopting a new costume in order to seduce public opinion and work on the shadows while it gains power? Are we facing a new and modernized PRI? Many of these questions will be answered  as time goes by. Till then we can understand the most relevant issues of Peña Nieto's first year in office. That is exactly what we did in this article, give a major outlook of the most relevant topics in nowadays Mexico. We can conclude emphasizing that the PRI has made a major political move since 2012. After 1 year in power they have proposed several reforms. Some of them are just empty speeches that cannot transmit calmness nor can attack the structural problems Mexico has been suffering for decades. Perhaps one of the conclusions we can introduce is the role of Peña Nieto, a young leader who tries to continue with his party's agenda. As far as he can hoard with every political, economic and social area, the will to transform Mexico might take place. But once again, and maintaining the line displayed on our article, we could ask ourselves: would it be a real change or just another empirical construction of a political party who is one of the major responsibles of Mexico's current situation? 





                                                                                      Tomás Vera Ziccardi.





* This work is physical and intellectual property of Mr. Tomás Vera Ziccardi. The rights of this work are reserved to TVZC® by express request of the Author. 


jueves, 5 de diciembre de 2013

Presentación del Grupo Camboya.

Will the Maldives disappear?



Will the Maldives disappear?









Author: Tomás Vera Ziccardi.





Located in the heart of the Indian Ocean, the Republic of Maldives is a sovereign nation unfamiliar to most of the people who inhabit this world. However, in recent years this nation has been the window to one of the problems that could end up seriously affecting virtually the entire world population. What makes Maldives an extremely important nation for the XXI Century? How it is possible that an independent state made​up of no more than half a million people becomes the prelude to future disasters of global proportions? To understand these issues it is first necessary to make a description of the nation, at the same time that we elaborate an analysis that addresses the problems which have recently affected Maldives. This will allow us to understand the reason why analysts have repeatedly asked if there are legitimate possibilities that this Asian nation disappears. Keeping track of this shaft question, we shall seek to respond the possibility that the Maldives disappears, and also an explanation as to why it has gone so far as to suggest the demise of a nation.


The nearest countries are Sri Lanka and India. The Indian Ocean completely surrounds the Maldives. Being an archipelago of more than 1,900 islands, from which less than a quarter of them are inhabited. Its capital, Male, has about 100,000 inhabitants, over 25 % of all the Maldivian population. The rest is distributed in more than 200 islands, with some having a population of between 1,000 and 5,000. A total of 400,000 inhabitants make up the national population of the Maldives. Despite being a recognized tourist destination, especially among American and European tourists (now also among Chinese ones), few know that the Maldives is the country with the lowest altitude in the world. This has led to the categorization of 'the lowest country in the world'. Maldives lacks 'natural' mountains, not reaching more than three meters, the highest peak in the nation. We say 'natural' because as we shall see there are other mountains in the Maldives, which far from having brought benefits to the topographical features of the nation, have worsened its situation in social and natural terms. Keep in mind that 80 % of the territory does not exceed five meters in height. Virtually the entire territory is at sea level. This makes the Maldives, a nation that has less than 1,000 km2, an extremely vulnerable nation to global warming, since a slight increase with regards to water levels in the Indian Ocean can infringe the entire national territory.









From a paradisiac destination to an apocalyptic scenario, which are the causes that lay under the environmental vulnerability of Maldives?





We have previously mentioned an extremely relevant aspect for this Asian nation. Tourism is Maldives main source of income. This economic activity accounts for over 40 % of national GDP. According to figures provided by the Ministry of Tourism of Maldives, more than 500,000 tourists visit the nation each year. This allows us to observe that the annual number of tourists exceeds the total Maldivian population. Not only with tourists come remittances in foreign currency, also come serious problems. This allows us to reformulate the current paradigm which holds that the Maldives will go ahead with tourism. Is tourism the solution or the real underlying problem?
To Maldivian citizens access to education is difficult. The top educational institutions such as universities are only for a few. The inability to move from remote islands to the capital makes it difficult for people in rural areas to have access to quality education. On the other hand, the low level of infrastructure precludes the construction of schools and universities in different islands, further worsening structural problems that Maldives has in education. Structural problems bring to light the high distance between the small elite that rule the nation from Male and the rest of the population. No wonder that the Maldives has one of the highest Gini coefficients in the world. We should also notice that its Human Development Index level is medium. All this means that over the year’s people have digested the concepts of the elite which argue that tourism is a huge benefit for the nation. Maldivian citizens have become accustomed to accept tourism, including all the evil that follows it. Tourism serves as the 'opium of the people', and instead of being addressed as the problem, it is introduced as the solution. Of course, the industry related to tourism has a strong link with the political power and the military.

After tourism fishing accounts for the activity that generates the higher income in Maldives. Its territorial position is strategic for fishing, generating annual exports to nations like China, where recently the demand for fish has increased. In recent years the exploitation of marine resources has led to a crisis in the seabed around the islands. It is feared that increased fishing without strict regulation leads to the destruction of the nation's ecosystem, generating natural consequences as well as economic ones.
There are two areas where we should deepen. On one side we should focus on Maldives energy supplies. Due to its geographical position, the Maldives must import fuel from other nations. The Asian nation imports more than one quarter of its GDP on diesel. The costs of illuminating the nation plus hospitals and schools energy supply are extremely high. Energy dependence clearly increases the spiraling problems affecting Maldives.
Furthermore it should be noted that Maldives has no water reserves. This leads to import millions of tons of water, not only for consumption of its inhabitants, but also for the huge number of tourists visiting the country annually. Sewage and water networks do not cover more than 40 % of the populated territory, being the capital the only exception where the system is moderately acceptable. Meanwhile in remote islands such infrastructure is non-existent.

Maldives insular condition isolates the nation when it comes to getting rid of garbage and waste. Keep in mind that big tourism chains and activities that emerge from them generate over 60% of waste in Maldives. Several islands have seen how 'artificial' mountains of garbage have increased in recent years. Ironically these 'artificial' mountains are the only ones in Maldives. Successive governments have tended to adopt a policy of relocation of large landfills to remote islands, which does not solve the waste problem but makes it worse for the future.

Maldives is located in the so called Coral Reefs. Unlike other insular nations, its foundations are supported on these structures, rather than on volcanic stone or fertile soil. Nowadays the world has seen how global warming has advanced at a high speed, although, in the political agenda, little has been done in order to stop it. The reason why we want to introduce the case of Maldives is because it serves as a window to the future, a case that could show the panorama in which we would find us for not taking serious measures against global warming. At the same time the ineffectiveness of appropriate policies show irreversible damage in geographical terms, as the case of the Maldives poses serious risks to national integrity. In recent years, global warming has not only exponentially increased the volume of water in the oceans, aggravating the situation of nations situated at sea level as the Maldives, but also it has increased the level of acidity in the oceans, destroying stocks of coral on which an enormous amount of archipelagos worldwide maintain themselves. For the Maldives, this means an even more serious problem than for other nations.









Maldives has a serious problems regarding waste disposal. In a nation where half a million tourist arrive every year, pollution is intended to increase, affecting national environment.





Due to global warming effects, water levels have increased, jeopardizing the status of nations living on the sea level. Going even further, climate change increased the annual rainfall in the Indian Ocean region, which generates not only higher levels of annual rainfall, but also more rain, storms and tsunamis per year. Forward-looking statements speak of Maldives possible situation, which would lose about 23% of its territory by the year 2100. Of course this would happen if water levels in the seas and oceans around the world continue increasing. We could not only witness the disappearance of a significant percentage of islands but also the inability to relocate thousands of inhabitants.
Unlike the situation in other nations, in Maldives, due to its topographical structure, a slight rise in sea levels translates into serious floods, as it was experienced in recent years. Maldives not only lacks the budget to counter these issues, it is also unable to implement a similar plan to the ones British had for the Thames in order to prevent rising tides resulting in floods. Setting concrete walls around nearly 2,000 islands is virtually impossible, even more for a nation whose infrastructure is extremely precarious. On the other hand, it is not certain where rising sea levels will hit, thus protecting certain islands and others not seems not be the right choice. At the same time we could point out that the protection of the islands near the capital would lead to an even more difficult demographic situation. The residents of remote islands may have fear of the lack of protection and hence they would immediately seek for refuge in the capital. In recent years there has been an increase on the intra-migratory flow to the capital, leaving several islands uninhabited. Many of these islands have a population of less than 1,000 inhabitants. On the other hand, the same could happen in the capital; hence it is not an easy task to predict where the disaster shall take place.

Despite the higher level of vulnerability due to its geographical condition and the exponential risk to experience future disasters due to global warming, Maldives should reconsider the extent of human responsibility in the problems it traverses. We previously analyzed tourism and the problems it creates. The piles of trash worsen the health situation in the islands of Maldives. Furthermore, the seas predation due to the fishing boom can complicate even further the environmental situation. The level of ocean acidity, partly due to international pollution, but also by irresponsible fishing, along with the tons of waste dumped into the sea that border the nation, is another issue that harms the Maldives and also the future of its inhabitants. Why measures are not taken in order to limit tourism, the waste issue, fishing & hostelry industry and the energetic dependence? This is clearly due to economic interests. Maldives was ruled for decades by an authoritarian regime, disguised as a pseudo democracy. The judicial and legislative branches of power have a strong link with the economic power that controls tourism and fishing. Despite democratic progress since the '2000s, groups of power used to perpetrate lobby practices have redoubled their efforts in order to eliminate environmental issues from the political & electoral debate. This added to the low level of formation that the average Maldivian citizen has and the restrictions imposed over access to valuable information regarding climate change, has shifted the focus of attention from voters and citizens. Maldivians seem not so interested in the environmental problems its nation is facing. Not only there is direct culpability and responsibility from the population but also from the elite that rule the country, which in defense of their economic interests and monopolist industries has sedated the people on an issue that is considerably serious. For the past decades something has been extremely clear: the Maldivian establishment is determined to achieve discredit of the problems generated by the environment.

Contrary to popular belief that a man cannot change things by himself, Mohamed Nasheed has worked most of his entire life not only to change the environmental situation of his nation, but also to fight concentrated power groups that prevent a change for the better of the Maldivian people.
Nasheed completed his formation on maritime studies in the United Kingdom. After that he returned to his nation, where he was arrested for attacking, as a journalist, the government. In the early '90s Nasheed began his political career looking forward to impose the environmental theme at the core of social debate. During the years of political turmoil in the '2000s he held public office, where his image grew enormously, especially due to the great popularity generated by his innovative initiatives. Unfortunately because of them he would end up in prison. Nasheed was for years one of the most hated political leaders by the military that held control of the Maldives for nearly two decades.
Due to the difficult socio-political situation in Maldives, Nasheed had to face exile in Sri Lanka, where along with other relevant Maldivian figures they would found the Maldivian Democratic Party. After years of de facto governments, elected in fraudulent elections, Nasheed managed to win the 2008 election with the support of more than half of the electorate. After 20 years of dictatorship, Nasheed became the first democratically elected president of Maldives. His policies represented the same political thought he had throughout his life, innovation and long-term projection were the norm during his years in office. In 2009 the President proposed to reverse the national energy matrix to a supply based on wind and solar energy. It is understandable that traditional groups of power quickly opposed to his government. In terms of foreign affairs the government sought to implement certain type of diplomacy where previously mentioned Maldivian problems became projected to the international sphere. Presidential diplomacy was at its height, as Nasheed himself took part of major international forums, the United Nations and had a considerable presence in regions of great relevance such as the European Union and the NAFTA.
We should note that his government not only developed policies that sought to limit the amount of waste in Maldives, it also intended to reformulate the energetic and water supply, both of vital importance for the Asian nation. This clearly affected the economic interests of the traditional power groups which for decades had articulated a system that favored the import of diesel and water, while they never addressed the environmental issue nor eliminated waste and rubbish pills. Nasheed himself sought support from a huge amount of nations around the world, several of which observed how during his tenure the environmental issue increased at an international scale. In conclusion, the Nasheed government not only harmed the interests of domestic sectors, it also affected external ones, by awakening the need for change in terms of environmental regulation, something that several nations seek to minimize or eliminate from the international agenda. No wonder that throughout his mandate Nasheed suffered constant destabilization and coup attempts. The media attacks plus military interference in political power and judicial impediments were significant variables that hindered the exercise of functions of the MDP.









President Mohamed Nasheed introduces his speech at the United Nations Plenary, where he endorsed the lack of policies in the international agenda directed to combat global warming.





Internationally recognized as one of the leading exponents in the fight against climate change, Nasheed thwarted his dream of changing the course of events not only in his own nation but also on the entire world. Despite having directed his policies towards all axes that create problems for Maldives, most of which we have described since the beginning of the article, the military, the economic elite, political groups, transnational economic power, main hostelry chains, corporations in charge of tourism in the Maldives, international consumers of maritime products that saw their interests affected by the legislation Nasheed created to preserve marine life, nations that sought to silence his voice thinking that this would  bury the issue of climate change and fuel exporters ended up organizing a coup against him. Mohamed Nasheed, who came to organize his first cabinet meeting underwater, seeking to raise awareness to the world about the future of Maldives if serious action was not taken against climate change, ended up renouncing forcibly due to social instability generated in the streets of Male.








In the picture you can appreciate the historical Underwater Cabinet Meeting, where the recently eleceted government intended to rise concern regarding climate change and its effects in Maldives.





The Maldivian case is nothing more and nothing less than the clear representation of what could happen to the rest of the world if consistent policies are not taken. Climate change does not take a break, it is unpredictable, being able of affecting anyone at any time. Maldives counts with an obvious geographical vulnerability against the effects arising from climate change, however, and as we have seen, the main problem seems to have human responsibility. Maldivian citizens, from fishermen in remote islands up to tourism business leaders have led to an even worse environmental situation. In recent decades the amount of waste has increased, furthermore this issue has not been properly addressed. As for inefficiently regulated fishing, when measures were implemented to limit the destruction of the natural habitat, the desire to extract more fish in order to satisfy the international demand, economic groups behind the fishing industry fiercely opposed, demonstrating their commitment to destroy and harm the environment. The same as with fishing, the nation's energy matrix has the support of the political elite, fuel importers and the judicial branch. These groups intend to prevent a modification of the energetic matrix, opposing against the implementation of a non polluting one. All this shows us the level of human responsibility, not nature one, that lies behind the Maldivian case. The immediate economic and commercial interests seem to outweigh concerns about working for a better future for upcoming generations. Not only from the scientific world dealing with climate change, pollution, disproportionate consumption of non renewable fuels, increasing the level of water in the oceans and the destruction of marine life, from the world of international politics, which is what we are interested in, a not so bright future for Maldives arises. The major problems are not only structural and require immediate action; they should be discussed at the national and international level. Future implications could end up making of the Maldives just a mere memory. Even worse, if serious steps are not taken to reverse the situation in the Asian nation, we could be facing the future that waits for all of us. Let us note that the case of Maldives is not an isolated one. The people of this nation located in the Indian Ocean live on planet earth, just like us. You must understand that there is no Plan B, because there is no Planet B. Climate change does not choose who to hit next. Maldives today, tomorrow it would be another nation. We must realize that not working for change in Maldives would also lead us to our future scenario, where the interests of the world's political elite and transnational power would silence the problems behind climate change, while damage will continue advancing, and even worse, they will be irreparable.
Various Maldivian politicians have suggested that it is still early to talk about the effects of climate change. It is precisely that kind of attitude that hinders the solution. The fact of you not being dead does not mean that you will not be. The symptoms are clear, Maldives has enormous possibilities to experience the disappearance of much of its territory, the loss of life due to floods & storms and the destruction of vital infrastructure for the nation (roads, schools, hospitals, airports, etc). Regarding the question 'Will the Maldives disappear?' Clearly, the scientific evidence suggests that the Asian nation may disappear. No wonder why in the past it has even been suggested from various political factions the possibility of buying territory to other nations, hence producing a massive national migration. If such decision takes place it would not only mean leaving behind the territory of Maldives, it would also mean leaving behind the hope on the fight against global warming. For us these kinds of issues are the ones that corroborate what is suggested from the scientific world. Yes, the Maldives may disappear in the future. A future that may be closer than what we expect. But natural causes should not be the unique concern, innate to the environmental problem, human ones should also be consider. Precisely these are the ones that worsen the vicious circle of problems which Maldives is experimenting and that maybe you could soon be experiencing.






                                                                                  Tomás Vera Ziccardi.





* This work is physical and intellectual property of Mr. Tomás Vera Ziccardi. The rights of this work are reserved to TVZC® by express request of the Author. 


miércoles, 25 de septiembre de 2013

La Batalla de Hastings - 1066.


La Batalla de Hastings - 1066.







Autor: Tomás Vera Ziccardi.





La Batalla de Hastings se ha consagrado en la historia inglesa y europea como un momento de cambio estructural. La llegada de los normandos al trono inglés implicó el inicio de una nueva era en las islas británicas, la cual daría comienzo a la conformación de la sociedad inglesa de la Edad Media. Desde los romanos hasta los normandos, pasando por los sajones y los pueblos nórdicos, varias han sido las civilizaciones que han realizado aportes a lo que hoy conocemos como Inglaterra. Posiblemente sea la influencia normanda una de las más interesantes, ya que impuso un sistema, social, político, cultural y dinástico que perduraría hasta la Edad Moderna. Es por ello que deseamos describir la coyuntura previa y posterior a la batalla que tomó lugar en 1066, ya que nos permitirá comprender un momento clave de la historia del pueblo inglés.
Finalmente debemos tomar en cuenta que tanto la batalla por el trono inglés como también sus posteriores consecuencias engloban a una importante cantidad de actores, varios de los cuales dejarán su legado en la sociedad y cultura inglesa. Algo que puede ser evidenciado, incluso, en nuestros días. Después de todo, para los ingleses, Dieu et mon droit sigue siendo más que un mero lema nacional. 






Durante las primeras décadas del siglo XI, Inglaterra atravesaba por un período de crisis de sus élites. Dichas élites anglosajonas encontraban divisiones internas respecto al manejo de sus tierras. Por parte del monarca se evidencia un momento de serias incógnitas en torno a su figura, algo que se agudizará durante el reinado de Eduardo el Confesor. A medida que las diversas familias de la aristocracia anglosajona esgrimían sus diferencias, no lograron distinguir que la mayor amenaza para el reino vendría del exterior.

La situación en el continente no era del todo diferente. Si bien prevalecieron fundamentales diferencias entre Inglaterra y los demás reinos, lo cual se puede explicar por sus condiciones geográficas, políticas, culturales y demográficas, si nos situamos en la región norte de lo que hoy día conocemos como Francia, nos encontramos con un panorama de clivajes internos. Siendo más precisos nos centramos en Normandía. Antes de comenzar es pertinente distinguir quiénes eran los normandos, ya que a lo largo de la historia se ha dicho de ellos que eran franceses, noruegos, vikingos, entre otros, algo que ha confundido a más de una persona. Los normandos fueron un pueblo de raza germánica, que hacia finales del siglo VIII comenzaron a asentarse en las costas del norte de Europa continental. Su rápida y progresiva expansión tanto hacia el continente, como dentro de este, obedeció a una lógica de búsqueda de recursos suplementarios como necesidad para la subsistencia. Esto en parte encuentra correlación con la rápida sobrepoblación de sus dominios durante los siglos VI y VII. 
Ahora que sabemos quiénes fueron los normandos, debemos responder a qué era para aquel entonces Normandía. En primer lugar debemos tener en cuenta que su status era el de un ducado. El mismo surgió del Tratado Saint Clair sur Epte, que le permitió a los normandos asentarse al norte de Francia. El territorio se encontraba al sur del Canal de la Mancha, y se adentraba más de 100 kilómetros al interior de Francia. A pesar de su limitado espacio territorial, las proyecciones del mismo comenzaron a ampliarse con el paso de las décadas, algo que encuentra respuesta, en parte, dentro de lo que fue la configuración militar de la sociedad normanda. 

La Casa de Wessex reinó en Inglaterra a partir del año 871. Los siguientes siglos dejarían en evidencia los cambios de gobierno, en especial debido a la influencia de los pueblos nórdicos. En 1042 la casa de Wessex tuvo nuevamente a un sajón como máximo regente, sería Eduardo, quién posteriormente debido a su interiorización religiosa, sería conocido como Eduardo El Confesor. La figura de Eduardo tiende a encontrarse vinculada a las de Godwin y su hijo Harold II, también conocido como Harold Godwinson. Principalmente Eduardo El Confesor y Godwin serían los principales referentes de la Inglaterra de la década del '40 y '50. Como bien mencionamos al comienzo, durante estos años Inglaterra atravesaba un clivaje interno de sus élites. Dichas personalidades, comienzan a fortalecer los vínculos con los normandos, en especial el rey Eduardo. A pesar de ello, observaremos que los cambios internos en Normandía, presentaron modificaciones en la relación. 









Eduardo El Confesor fue uno de los reyes más relevantes de Inglaterra durante los años previos a la invasión de los normandos. Su relación con Harold y William configuró el escenario político que lo sucedería.





Durante dichos años de profundos cambios surge la figura de un actor fundamental para el rumbo de los acontecimientos en Inglaterra. Sus padres fueron Roberto El Magnífico, Duque de Normandía y Arlette. En un comienzo se lo denominó Guillermo El Bastardo, dada su condición de hijo ilegítimo. A pesar de ello, sería nombrado a los 7 años de edad sucesor al ducado, por su propio padre. La muerte de su padre significó el inicio de una larga lucha por la sucesión al poder. Los diversos señores feudales del ducado se batieron a lucha por el control de Normandía. Los vasallos comienzan a ganar cada vez más poder, centrándose puntualmente en cada uno de los focos de batalla a lo largo y ancho de todo el ducado. Hacia el año 1047, es decir cercano al momento en el cual Eduardo El Confesor es coronado como Rey de Inglaterra, Guillermo es nombrado Duque de Normandía. Durante sus primeros años logró reducir los focos de conflicto, y controlar gran parte del territorio que ahora se encontraba bajo su poder. El joven Guillermo traería tranquilidad y paz a Normandía, revirtiendo la situación experimentada durante la década del '30. 
A pesar de esto último mencionado, surge en el horizonte un nuevo desafío para Normandía, que tendría repercusiones a futuro. Las amenazas internas fueron suplantadas por las externas. En un momento de cambio a nivel internacional, Normandía debería responder a los desafíos que amenazaban sus fronteras. El principal clivaje durante los primeros años de Guillermo se daría con el Conde de Anyou, Godofredo Martel. El mencionado condado se encontraba en plena expansión. A esto hay que sumarle que Godofredo Martel contaba con el apoyo y respaldo de Enrique I, Rey de Francia. Los siguientes años se encontrarían marcados por las luchas entre normandos y francoangevinos. El rasgo más importante de dicho conflicto fue la respuesta inmutable que Guillermo otorgó. Su tenacidad frente a las amenazas externas le valieron de respaldo interno y una revalorización a nivel externo de su figura. A la muerte de Enrique I, sus sucesores buscaron mejorar la relación con Normandía. 

Debemos detenernos en este momento ya que posee significativo valor para el desarrollo de los eventos futuros. Para Normandía el período en cuestión sería fundamental. Los largos años de luchas externas consolidaron las instituciones militares normandas. Se produce un perfeccionamiento de las tropas bajo el comando de Guillermo. El grado de especialización en el arte de la guerra aumenta. Al mismo tiempo comienza a surgir un importante grado de lealtad hacia el duque, aquí es donde la figura de Guillermo se torna decisiva. Remitido a Guillermo, el líder normando impulsó una serie de reformas entre 1050 y 1060, las cuales buscaron desplazar del poder a todos aquellos que en su momento se habían enfrentado a su figura. De esta forma el círculo de confianza se agudizó. Por otro lado el consejo de sabios obtiene valor, ya que sirvieron de consejeros para un joven líder en crecimiento. Esto le valió el respeto de quienes habían luchado junto a su padre. Por último, una de las reformas fundamentales fue la de desplazar de la aristocracia a sus antiguos enemigos, sustituyéndolos por súbditos suyos en cada condado del ducado. Este período es denominado como el "fortalecimiento interno de Normandía", donde Guillermo logró erigir una poderosa administración pública servicial a sus intereses. La imposición de un régimen tributario permitió el control sobre la población y la totalidad del territorio, impidiendo la formación de focos hostiles a su persona. La situación económica no distaba de la política. En cuestión de pocos años, la economía mejoró, pronto las ciudades normandas alcanzaron un gran poderío, lo cual le permitió al ducado mejorar su posición al aumentar la prosperidad. 

En Inglaterra la situación parecía empeorar cada vez más. Godwin logró aumentar su poder. Pronto comenzó a extender su influencia hacia las tierras del sur de Londres, la iglesia y la propia aristocracia anglosajona. Esto dejó en evidencia las pujas en las élites inglesas, algo que contrastaba con la situación interna de Normandía. Por otro lado debemos recordar que los clivajes aquí mencionados precedieron el reinado de Eduardo El Confesor. 
Los conflictos entre Eduardo y Godwin se agravaron. La religión y el control de la Iglesia fue uno de los principales puntos de conflicto. Durante estos años Eduardo gira hacia la religión, adquiriendo la distinción de "El Confesor". Godwin por su parte buscó fortalecer las tropas leales a su figura. 
Generalmente los historiadores tienden a presentar divergencias respecto a lo que fue la alianza de Eduardo con los normandos en contra de Godwin. Más allá de ingresar en un debate que no hace al fondo de la cuestión, debe quedar en claro que la imagen de Eduardo comienza a ser cuestionada. A pesar de ello, en 1053 se produce la muerte de Godwin. La figura de Harold, su hijo, comienza a ganar apoyo entre la nobleza anglosajona, y se lo vislumbra como un posible sucesor al trono. 

Uno de los vínculos relevantes que distinguió a la persona de Harold fue aquel mantenido con los normandos. Con el paso de los años, Harold dejó de ser el opositor a la creciente influencia normanda en la nobleza inglesa, para ser uno de los más respetados caballeros por el duque Guillermo. Recordemos que Harold acompaño a su padre, Godwin durante los años de exilio. 

Destacando acontecimientos, no podemos dejar de lado el viaje de Harold a Normandía. Pronto el vínculo con los normandos dejó en evidencia el creciente problema de la sucesión al trono inglés. Es aquí donde los historiadores tienden a presentan divergencias. Por un lado hay quienes han señalado que Harold le prometió a Guillermo el trono inglés, y que lo respaldaría en cualquier posible incursión hacia el norte. Hay quienes mantienen que Guillermo lo nombró su caballero y confió en un juramento esgrimido por Harold. Del otro lado se encuentran quienes sostienen que esto jamás sucedió, y que en lugar de un juramento, existieron malinterpretaciones por parte de Guillermo, que terminarían desencadenando en un conflicto internacional. Lo que queda en evidencia es la puja por el trono inglés y las alianzas que los diversos actores comienzan a trazar.

Centrándonos en Inglaterra, observamos una serie de rebeliones que surgen a lo largo de la nación. Eduardo estaba muy debilitado, y Harold, principal figura lucha contra su propio hermano y demás vasallos, pensando en un posible respaldo de los nobles ingleses para ocupar el trono. Lo cierto es que nuevamente nos encontramos ante un momento que generará cambios vitales. Se evidencia por primera vez el desgarramiento profundo de la Inglaterra anglosajona, algo que le permitirá a las fuerzas extranjeras sacar provecho.

Posicionándonos en el período próximo a la batalla que decidiría el futuro de Inglaterra, surgen en 1065 una serie de acontecimientos que generaron un cambio en la población inglesa. Hacia mediados de dicho año surgieron fuertes tormentas en las islas que destruyeron iglesias y los hogares de miles de campesinos. El rey Eduardo cae enfermo. Al mismo tiempo el monarca comienza a tener sueños que exponen la ira de Dios hacia su pueblo. Podemos concluir señalando que la antesala a la gran batalla, condicionó el panorama, algo que demostró la tensión previa a la guerra. 

En el año 1066, toma lugar la muerte del Rey de Inglaterra Eduardo El Confesor. La ceremonia se produjo durante la mañana en la Abadía de Westminster. El trono inglés, tan ansiado por tantos actores, terminaría recayendo en manos de Harold, quien sería coronado durante la tarde en Westminster. Las noticias tardarían en llegar al continente. Algo que estallaría cuando Guillermo se enterara, ya que le habían prometido el trono, y era a quién el actual rey inglés le había jurado lealtad. 









La Abadía de Westminster sería uno de los escenarios que marcaría el momento de transición por el cual atravesó Inglaterra en 1066. Allí sería coronado como Rey de Inglaterra el primer monarca normando. En la imagen se puede apreciar la Abadía con su fachada gótica, correspondiente al período posterior al período de la Batalla de Hastings.





Debemos destacar a un actor relevante, la Iglesia. La ya establecida puja entre Normandía e Inglaterra, y entre William y Harold, adquiriría el condicionante de la religión. El Papa volcó su apoyo hacia Guillermo, no solo por su defensa al culto católico, sino también por las posibles aspiraciones al control de la iglesia en Inglaterra, la cual con el control de los anglosajones se había distanciado de Roma. 

Guillermo se entera de las noticias y lo primero que puede evidenciarse es su rencor hacia Eduardo, quién le había prometido el trono, y hacia Harold quien le había prometido, en uno de sus viajes, respaldo y lealtad. Lo cierto es que la coronación del nuevo rey inglés disgustó a los normandos. Durante los años previos, Normandía había fortalecido su poderío bélico. Ahora se preparaba para aumentar su capacidad militar, construir buques de guerra, reclutar soldados y recolectar provisiones para lo que sería la tan anunciada invasión a Inglaterra. 

Se ha destacado el rol de la Iglesia en la contienda entre ambas partes, de todas formas mencionamos demás actores que tuvieron un papel directo en el conflicto. Los normandos no solo utilizaron sus tropas regulares, sino que también recurrieron a mercenarios flamencos, bretones y franceses. Las tropas normandas apostadas en Italia meridional también fueron relocalizadas hacia el norte de Francia. Por parte de los anglosajones, la nobleza decidió apoyar a Harold. A los nobles ingleses les había molestado el aumento de la presencia e influencia normanda dentro del seno de la aristocracia. Era preferible continuar manteniendo el status del cual disponían con los sajones a tener que ver sus privilegios quitados por los invasores extranjeros. De esta forma comienzan a reagruparse ambos bandos para lo que sería una batalla que decidiría el futuro de Inglaterra. Del lado norte Harold esperaba con sus tropas a William, mientras que al otro lado del Canal de la Mancha, los normandos demoraban su invasión. 

Durante los futuros meses tomaron lugar ciertos acontecimientos que modificaron el destino de la guerra. En primer lugar señalamos el cambio climático. Las tormentas retrasaron los buques normandos, que debieron replegarse hacia el continente. A pesar de ello, el viento trajo una nueva compañía  Provenientes del norte, los noruegos se dirigían hacia Inglaterra con motivo de una invasión para reclamar el trono inglés. Por parte de las tropas de Harold, observando que los normandos no llegaban y que los meses pasaban, el monarca tomó la decisión de replegar sus tropas. Se retiró de la costa sur, sin saber que pronto Guillermo llegaría, y tampoco teniendo en cuenta que los noruegos desembarcarían en las islas. El destino había entrado en juego. Ahora el futuro parecía estar más claro.

Guillermo desembarcó en Pevensey, donde se encontró con las costas asoladas. Las tropas inglesas llevaban más de un mes estacionadas en Londres. Guillermo no contaba con el conocimiento de la presencia noruega al norte, algo que Harold sí conocía. El rey inglés decidió dirigir sus tropas hacia el norte, para enfrentarse a los noruegos. Mientras tanto los soldados normandos, a quienes se estipula que representaban un total de entre 5.000 y 10.000 tropas, comenzaron a avanzar, luego de esperar durante días por el enemigo. 

Las tropas inglesas y noruegas chocaron al norte de la nación en lo que fue una cruenta batalla por el trono inglés. Es aquí donde toma lugar la famosa Batalla de Stamford Bridge, en donde los invasores salen derrotados. A pesar de esto, en el sur, Guillermo ya había avanzado hasta la ciudad de Hastings. 

Durante los meses finales de 1066 y luego de varios desencuentros, las tropas normandas y anglosajonas se encontraron en Hastings para llevar a cabo una batalla que decidiría el futuro de Inglaterra. El trono vacante dejado por el rey sin herederos, Eduardo el Confesor, había sido ocupado por un Harold que se negaba a ceder ante los reclamos extranjeros. Lo había demostrado en Stamford Bridge luchando ante los noruegos, y ahora estaba decidido a hacerlo frente a los normandos. La batalla se decidió en cuestión de horas. Harold, en su despliegue hacia el sur (es aquí donde varios historiadores señalan que el rey se entera sobre la presencia normanda) no contó con la totalidad de sus tropas. Por otro lado los normandos dispusieron de una feroz caballería, que sería fundamental frente a la prácticamente totalidad de infantería inglesa. Por otro lado, los normandos poseían una gran especialización en el arte de la guerra, sus arqueros probaron ser claves para el avance de las tropas de Guillermo, acorralando rápidamente al enemigo.
Se han señalado cifras que van desde los 5.000 hombres hasta los 100.000, lo cierto es que la misma varía de acuerdo a las fuentes y el momento histórico en el cual fueron elaboradas. Generalmente tiende a haber consenso en cuanto a una cifra de 15.000 - 25.000 hombres luchando en la Batalla de Hastings. 










Representación de la época que deja en evidencia parte de la Batalla de Hastings librada en el año 1066.





En la batalla Harold es derrotado. Las tropas inglesas no pudieron luchar frente a los normandos. La incursión hacia el norte y la posterior batalla de Stamford Bridge mostraron sus efectos sobre los anglosajones. Al mismo tiempo, los normandos contaban con una mejor posición, tanto remitida a formación para la batalla como también en cuanto a su equipamiento. Lo cierto es que gran parte de la nobleza inglesa que participó en la guerra, tanto formando parte de la batalla como financiando a las tropas del rey anglosajón  se vería fuertemente afectada luego de la victoria normanda. Hay quienes señalan que la victoria normanda giró en torno a dos factores. Por un lado la muerte del propio Harold durante la batalla, lo cual implicó un golpe moral para los locales. Por el otro se señala el alto número de bajas. Los normandos no tuvieron piedad con los ingleses, fueron pocos los que pudieron escapar con vida y dirigirse hacia Londres para llevar las noticias. Justamente Londres sería el epicentro que marcaría el futuro ya escrito de Inglaterra. A pesar de haber triunfado en Hastings, Guillermo el normando debía ser coronado como rey en Londres. En esta ciudad no solo ya contaban con las noticias de la muerte de Harold, sino que también se encontraban apostadas allí tropas leales a la corona inglesa. Incluso se designó a un nuevo rey, Edgar II, quién no llegaría a ser coronado. 

Guillermo no perdió tiempo y se dirigió hacia Londres. La resistencia que ofreció el centro de la monarquia inglesa demostró que no le sería tarea fácil a los normandos gobernar Inglaterra. Aquí vuelve a entrar en juego la figura del líder normando. Aplicando las tácticas utilizadas en el pasado en Maine y Le Mans, Guillermo rodeó Londres, cerrándole cualquier tipo de comunicación con el exterior, cortándole las comunicaciones y el reaprovisionamiento de víveres. Pronto la aristocracia anglosajona evidenció que continuar imponiendo resistencia sería algo que agravaría una situación para este momento irreversible. A su vez, las divisiones dentro de la élite anglosajona respecto a cooperar o continuar imponiendo resistencia frente a los normandos también favorecieron a Guillermo.

A partir de la llegada de los normandos a Inglaterra comienza una etapa de profundos cambios en Inglaterra. El paso del Cometa Halley en 1066 había sido tan solo una señal de lo que estaba por comenzar. Hacia fines de 1066, Guillermo es coronado en Westminster como nuevo Rey de Inglaterra. Se inicia la etapa de dinastías normandas. 









En la imagen se puede apreciar el actual escudo de armas de Inglaterra. A pesar de haber sido adoptado a partir de 1410 por el rey Enrique V, la expresión en francés deja en evidencia la extensa influencia normanda dentro de la aristocracia inglesa. 





Una de las primeras características que podemos apuntar es el giro hacia el continente. Inglaterra cambia su visión hacia el sur en detrimento del norte, como lo había sido durante los siglos pasados. El mundo sajón y nórdico, más la relación con Europa del Norte cambia, favoreciendo el vínculo con la Europa Continental, algo que claramente responde a la posición geoestratégica de los normandos. En segundo lugar, ya habíamos estado hablando de la Iglesia. La dinastía normanda profundiza la alianza con la Iglesia, mientras que la iglesia anglosajona cede frente a las presiones y la avasallante influencia de los normandos. En tercer lugar podemos evidenciar el inicio del feudalismo militar inglés que tendrá su esplendor durante el resto de la Edad Media. Se produce un proceso de amalgamamiento de las instituciones sajonas y normandas. Finalmente, la cuarta característica que señalamos es el denominado proceso de "occidentalización" experimentado en Inglaterra, donde la influencia nórdica comienza a perder fuerza. Se han intentado establecer nexos respecto a lo que fue la influencia romana en Inglaterra. A pesar de ello, existen notables diferencias. La penetración cultural romana en Inglaterra se llevó a cabo durante un proceso expansionista de Roma, en donde lo que actualmente conocemos como Inglaterra, no quedaría fuera, de todas formas sufriría una menor influencia que otras regiones continentales. En este momento histórico, es decir 1066, existen nuevos actores que dan lugar a dicha occidentalización, algo también condicionado por la coyuntura, donde la unidad de Occidente se verá puesta a prueba frente a lo que serán las cruzadas, y donde Inglaterra tendrá un papel predominante. Uno de los mencionados actores es la Iglesia. Las figuras del Papa y Lanfranco, quien posteriormente sería nombrado como Arzobispo de Canterbury, extendieron su influencia sobre el clero anglosajón  vinculando a la iglesia inglesa cada vez más con Roma. También debe quedar claro que los largos años de influencia anglosajona habían llevado a Inglaterra a un proceso gradual de aislamiento de los acontecimientos que tomaban lugar en el continente. El vínculo cultural con la Europa Continental se había visto reducido, aumentando el nexo con la cultura nórdica. En última instancia debemos tener en cuenta que la cultura, estilo de vida y moda de la aristocracia normanda es introducida en Inglaterra, dichos valores tendrán cobijo por parte de la nobleza inglesa, la cual rápidamente comienza a adoptar las normas francesas, al igual que el idioma. 

Los años posteriores a 1066 pusieron a prueba a los normandos. Si bien Guillermo había triunfado en su invasión a Inglaterra y había sido proclamado rey, todavía existían importantes sectores económicos, políticos y sociales que se oponían a la expansión normanda en Inglaterra. Al mismo tiempo, Guillermo debía administrar no solo Inglaterra, sino que también Normandía. Será preciso ver más adelante lo que ya hemos introducido previamente, es decir la fusión de ambas instituciones, y la reiteración de los procesos de consolidación interna aplicados en décadas previas en Normandía, ahora siendo reiterados en los nuevos dominios.

Posiblemente la mayor resistencia la presentó el norte. Los territorios del norte buscaron tejer alianzas con los reyes nórdicos para frenar el avance de los normandos. A partir del año 1069, las rebeliones en dicha región aumentaron. La negativa a cooperar con el sur terminó decantando en que Guillermo emprendiera una ardua campaña hacia el norte del reino. Las masacres, los saqueos y la destrucción de ciudades dieron inicio a una etapa de avance total por parte de los normandos, en donde no existía lugar para el retroceso o la negociación. Guillermo se encontraba decidido a ejercer su poder por la fuerza en aquellas regiones que le imponían resistencia. Los normandos pronto avanzaron sobre los territorios del norte, destruyendo los cultivos y saqueando las reservas de alimentos, de esta forma surgieron las hambrunas y pestes en dicha región. 

Durante su reinado, Guillermo llevó a cabo la construcción de castillos a lo largo de Inglaterra. En especial tuvieron relevancia aquellos erigidos en las zonas donde se habían presentado las revueltas en su contra. De esta forma se aseguró de contar con un sistema permanente de presencia en las regiones lejanas, disminuyendo las revueltas. 









Guillermo El Conquistador fue el primer rey normando de Inglaterra. Su reinado se extendería durante el período 1066 - 1087.





En cuanto a la organización territorial compete, Guillermo reprodujo el sistema normando, expandiendo la jerarquía feudal leal a su figura. Las figuras de los sheriffs se tornan fundamentales, ya que ejercerán una presión y control directo sobre la población. 

Remitido al clero, Guillermo profundizó su influencia en la iglesia anglosajona. Con vistas a mantener el control sobre los monjes, nombró a Lanfranco como Arzobispo de Canterbury.

Con los normandos comienza un proceso gradual de control territorial, mediante un sistema de impuestos, documentación de todos los condados, control de la iglesia y del campesinado. La información se vuelve un arma sumamente poderosa, posiblemente la más importante que Guillermo empleó para fortalecer su reinado en Inglaterra. Desde el control del ganado y la producción agrícola hasta los listados que incluían los nombres de monjes y guerreros locales, Inglaterra será controlada por los normandos de una forma jamás experimentada hasta aquel momento. Para este control, los funcionarios públicos al servicio del rey fueron un actor importante. 

Durante el período de análisis, surge una nueva estratificación social. Las clases sociales inglesas mantendrán dicha configuración durante parte de la Edad Media. A pesar de los cambios a experimentarse más adelante con la introducción de la Carta Magna, la influencia normanda moldeó la estructura social inglesa para lo que serán los siglos por venir. 

Otro de los grandes legados de los normandos fue la recopilación de la información vital para el reino en el denominado Domesday Book, introducido a partir de 1086. El mismo es reivindicado como el primer empadronamiento de la Edad Media, que contaba con los nombres de los súbditos, vasallos, ingresos, ingresos por condado y dominio, y los soldados ubicados en cada región de Inglaterra. La eficacia de la administración normanda erigió un sistema sin precedentes a este momento histórico. Las diversas instancias de verificación y control permitieron mejorar la recaudación fiscal y las restricciones sociales. 

A pesar de los vínculos sociales dentro de la casta guerrera de los anglosajones, los normandos perfeccionaron la lealtad como un método de control de las élites y guerreros. Luego de 10 años de producida la invasión, gran parte de los señores feudales ingleses habían prestado juramente ante el Rey Guillermo. Un rey que no solo pasó a la historia por las transformaciones introducidas en la bretaña medieval, si no también por sus conquistas, las cuales le valieron de la condecoración con la cual pasó a la historia, Guillermo El Conquistador.

Una vez producida la muerte de Guillermo en 1087, las pujas familiares por el control de sus dominios comenzaron a trazar una clara división entre Normandía e Inglaterra. Guillermo II El Rojo, hijo de William The Conqueror, ocuparía el trono de Inglaterra para los años comprendidos entre 1087 y 1100. A pesar de los intentos por mantener vigente el legado de su padre, el distanciamiento con Occidente comenzó a hacerse cada vez más evidente. Además de las pujas internas por el poder, se ha señalado la carencia de un líder poderoso que ocupara el vacío dejado por Guillermo y pudiera ejercer pleno control tanto en territorio continental como insular. A la muerte de Guillermo II, el trono pasa a ser ocupado por su hermano, y tercer hijo de Guillermo, Enrique I de Beauclerc, quien reinaría desde el 1100 hasta el año 1135. 
El último normando en el trono inglés sería Esteban de Blois, nieto de Guillermo El Conquistador, quien permanecería en el poder hasta el año 1154, cuando luego de claras batallas internas y externas, se inaugura la dinastía de los Plantagenet, con Enrique II, hijo de Godofredo y Matilde. 

La muerte de una figura como fue la de Guillermo El Conquistador trajo aparejada las pujas a lo largo de todo su reino. Los sucesores primaron sus intereses personales por sobre los intereses comunes. Pronto Normandía e Inglaterra comenzaron a distanciarse, en especial cuando las disputas entre Guillermo II y Roberto aumentaron. El último rey normando que tuvo Inglaterra fue un sucesor directo de Guillermo El Conquistador. Esto demuestra la relevancia de los hechos que tomaron lugar desde 1040 en adelante, hasta llegar al año 1066. Justamente 1066 probó ser un momento de transformaciones radicales para Inglaterra. Los normandos fueron más allá de la mera conquista de un reino, buscaron introducir reformas estructurales en una nación que se encontraba aislada de la Europa Continental. Podríamos señalar que los normandos establecieron un puente entre ambas culturas. A pesar de ello, vale la pena tomar en cuenta que también impusieron una modalidad propia, en donde el control de Inglaterra no se negociaba. Allí fue vital el uso de la fuerza y la confrontación ante las rebeliones que experimentaron los normandos, tanto de guerreros como de nobles. 

Si los normandos jamás se hubieran embarcado en su expedición hacia el sur de Inglaterra, probablemente lo que hoy conocemos como el Reino Unido no sería lo mismo. Sin lugar a dudas los normandos dejaron un legado imborrable en la historia del pueblo inglés. La evolución de la sociedad inglesa durante los próximos cinco siglos, y en especial durante toda la Edad Media, se vio condicionada por las reformas introducidas por los normandos en 1066. La estratificación social, las costumbres, el culto religioso, la aristocracia, las élites, los funcionarios públicos, los guerreros, las instituciones, las relaciones exteriores y las percepciones sobre las demás sociedades contaron con un importante componente normando. 
La historia medieval inglesa continuó durante largas décadas siendo fundamental para Europa. De Thomas Becket y Ricardo Corazón de León hasta Enrique VIII y Eduardo VI, de las cruzadas y la unidad de occidente a los clivajes con franceses y españoles, Inglaterra demostró ser un actor fundamental durante un período crítico de la historia universal. Gran parte del accionar inglés respondió en base a su identidad y percepción de los demás. Fue justamente allí, donde posiblemente haya quedado marcado el legado invocado desde la Batalla de Hastings, el legado normando que Inglaterra siempre ha de recordar.





                                                                                            Tomás Vera Ziccardi.





* La totalidad del presente trabajo es obra material e intelectual del Señor Tomás Vera Ziccardi. Los derechos de dicha obra quedan reservados a TVZC por expreso pedido del autor.